Centre for Quantitative History

Kaixiang Peng

Kaixiang Peng

Biography

Kaixiang Peng is a professor of economics at Wuhan University. His research focuses on economic history, development economics, and institutional economics. His academic interests also include legal history, historical sociology, and historical politics. He is the author of From Exchanges to Market: A Research on the Private Economy of Traditional China (in Chinese) and Grain Prices since the Qing Dynasty: Historical Interpretation and Re-interpretation (in Chinese).

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卜凱調查數據及其利用的重新評估:以農業生產數據為核心的探討

卜凱調查對近代經濟史研究產生了深遠影響,其收集的全國性農戶級數據在近些年經過整理出版后,為更深入的研究提供了寶貴資料。 然而,關於卜凱調查數據質量的爭議一直存在,因此,有必要從利用角度對其進行專門評估。 本文首先審視了學術史上被反覆討論的卜凱調查過程與調查地區的選擇性問題,認為卜凱調查的價值不在於提供能反映各縣乃至全國平均水準的隨機抽樣數據,而在於提供一個有相當地區變異性的系統數據集,而且能與其他調查數據相互印證,並用於分析變數間的關係。 其次,基於新出的卜凱調查微觀數據,本文對農業投入與產出等數據的品質進行了甄別,指出在進行微觀層面分析時需特別注意戶級樣本的選擇性和單產缺乏戶級層面變異性等問題。 同時,本文結合微觀數據,重新計算了卜凱用於評估農戶生產效率的幾個重要統計指標,發現卜凱統計資料中的作物指數、每人工等數之穀物等數之生產量等指標存在意義模糊、算法不一致等問題,需要重新反思以此為依據的學術討論。

Publication/Projects Date July 2, 2026
Publication/Projects Type Journal Publications

Measuring the Early Modern and Modern Chinese Economy

This is a comprehensive guide to measuring the performance of the Chinese economy in historical context, bridging the gap between economic methods and economic history to showcase the cutting edge of quantitative Chinese economic history research.

The book brings together contributions from active scholars working in the area, integrating perspectives and methods from economics, history, and the digital humanities. It shows how Chinese economic history has become an increasingly interdisciplinary field over the past two decades, one that has increasingly adopted economic concepts and methodologies while maintaining a strong qualitative research tradition. The book sheds light on new data sources, methodologies and debates in Chinese economic history research while spanning core topics including taxation, land property, rural economy, population, gross domestic product, wage, lineage, and urbanisation. Chapters survey with unprecedented depth and breadth in current literature how economic data in Chinese history were generated, processed, and utilized byboth the state and the private sector. This volume is expected to help students better identify emerging types of historical data, how to make meaningful use of them, and gain deeper insights into the early modern and modern economic history of China.

Publication/Projects Date July 24, 2026
Publication/Projects Type Edited Volumes